US Markets Round-Up

This week, the Russell 3000 index, an important benchmark of the US stock market, started on a negative note and made a low of 2355.67 on May 02, 2022. However, the index recovered in the previous session and settled at 2399.50 with a week-to-date (WTD) gain of ~0.25 percent on May 05, 2022. Other major indices such as S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite showed mixed tone for the week. On May 05, 2022, the S&P 500 index settled at 4146.87 with a WTD gain of ~0.36 percent and the NASDAQ Composite Index settled at 12317.691 with a WTD loss of ~0.13 percent.   

The markets lose its initial gains after the release of initial jobless claims which surged to 200,000 from 181,000 (revised level) in the prior week, limiting the index gains. Besides, a decrease in the gross domestic product (GDP) at an annual rate of 1.4% in Q1 of 2022 also pressurize the stock markets up to a certain extent.

Having understood the US market performance over the week, taking cues from major global news, and based on our technical analysis of the Russell 3000 index for the upcoming week, now let us have a look at the one NYSE/ NASDAQ listed stock pick from the technical standpoint. Noted below are our recommendation based on generic insights, entry price, target prices, and stop-loss for Caleres Inc. (NYSE: CAL) for the next 2-4 weeks duration:

Caleres Inc. 

Caleres Inc. (NYSE: CAL) is a footwear retailer in the USA, that is actively engaged in the operation of retail shoe stores as well as e-commerce websites. Noted below are the key price indicators for the stock:

Price Action Analysis (on the Weekly Chart)

CAL has recently managed to breakout a downward sloping trend from beneath and sustaining above that, indicating the possibility of an upside movement hereon. Now the next major resistance level for the stock appears at USD 27.25 and prices may test this level in the short-term (2-4 weeks). A further movement above USD 27.25 may extend buying in the stock.  

Technical Indicators Analysis (On the Weekly Chart)

On the weekly chart, RSI (14-period) is hovering at ~60.46 which indicates prices are trading in bullish momentum. Prices are trading above the trend-following indicator 21-period and 50-period SMA, supporting an up-move.

General Recommendation

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical indicators analysis, we can conclude that Caleres Inc. is technically well-placed on the chart, and we gave a ‘Speculative Buy’ rating on the stock. Investment decisions should be made depending on an investor’s appetite for upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings. This recommendation is purely based on technical analysis, and fundamental analysis has not been considered in this report. The summary of our recommendation is as follows:

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Upcoming Major Global Economic Events

Market events occur on a day-to-day basis depending on the frequency of the data and generally include an update on employment, inflation, GDP, consumer sentiments, etc. Noted below are the upcoming week's major global economic events that could impact the Russell 3000 Index and stocks’ prices:

Investment Related Risks: Based on the technical analysis, the risks are defined as per risk-reward ratio (~0.60:1.00), however, returns are generated within 2-4 weeks’ time frame. This may be looked at by Investors with sufficient risk appetite looking for returns within a short investment duration. Investment recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.

Note 1: Investors can consider exiting from the stock if the Target Price or Stop loss mentioned as per the technical analysis has been achieved and subject to the factors discussed above. 

Note 2: How to Read the Charts?