Key Highlights
● Rivian slipped modestly on Friday, trading around $14.03 in the afternoon, with no company-specific news or analyst action.
● Chinese EV makers rallied, with Nio and XPeng climbing solidly, Li Auto jumping, and Tesla rising $7.70 to $382.70.
● Rivian's business is concentrated in the United States, where high borrowing costs and stretched budgets pressure car buyers.
● The University of Michigan's October sentiment index fell to 46.3, and the 10-year Treasury yield held near a 24-year high.
Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ:RIVN) slipped on Friday, October 9, trading around $14.03 in the afternoon, down modestly on the day, according to a market report. There was no company-specific news to explain the move. No press release, filing or analyst action on the stock appeared.
What stood out was the contrast with the rest of the electric-vehicle group. Chinese EV makers rallied strongly. NIO (NYSE:NIO) and XPeng both climbed solidly, and Li Auto (NASDAQ:LI) jumped in morning trading, according to market reports. Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) also gained, rising $7.70 to close at $382.70.
Rivian, which makes the R1T electric pickup, the R1S SUV and electric delivery vans for Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), did not share in that enthusiasm.
What lifted the others
The Chinese EV rally came as Chinese stocks more broadly found buyers. An exchange-traded fund tracking Chinese internet companies posted one of the day's bigger gains, and emerging-market stocks rose. Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) also climbed by a solid margin.
Tesla had its own supportive data point. Sales of its China-made vehicles rose in September from a year earlier, to 95,366 units from 90,812. That gave investors evidence of steady demand in one of the world's most competitive car markets.
Rivian's business, by contrast, is concentrated in the United States, where the outlook for car buyers is under pressure from high borrowing costs and stretched household budgets.
Headwinds for US car buyers
Friday's data underlined those pressures. The University of Michigan's preliminary October consumer sentiment index fell to 46.3 from 48.1, a five-month low. "Frustration over cost-of-living continues to mount," said Joanne Hsu, director of the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. Households' year-ahead inflation expectations also edged higher.
Financing is expensive too. The Fed raised rates in September for the first time since 2023, and the 10-year Treasury yield held near a 24-year high on Friday. Fed Governor Christopher Waller said Thursday he anticipates additional hikes to bring inflation back to the Fed's goal. Higher rates feed through to car loans, which matter a great deal for buyers of higher-priced vehicles.
Fuel prices are part of the mix. The US average diesel price stood at $6.28 a gallon, according to AAA, and Brent crude settled at $104.72 a barrel, though President Donald Trump said a diesel supply deal with Russia would bring prices down.
A positive market overall
Large-cap stocks broadly rose. The S&P 500 gained 46.18 points to 7,811.54, the Nasdaq Composite added 172.83 points to 27,366.17, and the Dow climbed 423.31 points to 51,654.95. The S&P 500's consumer discretionary sector, which includes automakers, was among the day's leaders, helped by Amazon and Tesla.
Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird, said: "It's the kind of back-and-forth market we've been in where we have the reversal of sentiment around Iran".
Rivian's Next Delivery and Production Update Will Be the Clearest Test of Demand
US stocks trade on Monday, October 12, while the bond market is closed for Columbus Day, and the Fed meets on October 27 and 28. On the macro calendar, September consumer prices arrive on Wednesday, October 14, followed by retail sales on Thursday, and bank earnings run from October 13 to 16, with lenders likely to comment on auto credit. Rivian's next delivery and production update will be the clearest test of demand for its vehicles.



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