Key Highlights

● DLTR closed at $118.64 on 9 October 2026, below the recent named targets, which range from about $121 to $170.

● Market data shows a $131.83 mean from 26 analysts and the second data set a $136.80 mean from 28 analysts, while 14 recent named targets average close to $143.

● Market data records 11 Buy, 13 Hold and two Sell ratings, a Hold consensus.

● Loop Capital upgraded the shares to Buy with a $140 target on 1 October, and Barclays raised to $160 from $140 on 4 September.

Dollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) is a constituent of the S&P 500. The shares closed at $118.64 on Friday 9 October 2026. Brokers have been active since the company's August results period, but the published consensus figures do not line up with the recent forecasts.

What Is the Latest Analyst Price Target?

The two data sets sit below recent individual targets: market data shows a mean of $131.83 from 26 analysts, with a range of $85 to $170, while the second data set shows a mean of $136.80 and a median of $140 from 28 analysts, but its forecast data were last updated on 29 September and may be stale. The 14 recent named broker targets, from July to October, average close to $143, noticeably above both means, which suggests older, lower targets may be affecting the published figures. No upside figure is presented.

What Are Wall Street Analysts Saying?

Market data records 11 Buy, 13 Hold and two Sell ratings, a consensus rating of Hold. Recent named actions include Loop Capital upgrading the shares from Hold to Buy and raising its target from $130 to $140 on 1 October, and Evercore setting a $135 target on 29 September. Barclays raised its target from $140 to $160 with an Overweight rating on 4 September.

In late August, Morgan Stanley raised its target from $130 to $145 with Equal Weight, UBS from $145 to $150 with Buy, Guggenheim from $135 to $145 with Buy, and Piper Sandler from $114 to $121 with Neutral. Goldman Sachs reiterated Neutral at $131, Bernstein reiterated Market Perform at $130, and Wells Fargo raised its target to $155 with Overweight. JPMorgan raised its target from $160 to $170 in July.

What Could Help the Stock Reach the Price Target?

Most recent individual targets, between about $121 and $170, are above the $118.64 close, and the direction of recent revisions has largely been upward, including an upgrade from Loop Capital.

What Could Prevent the Stock Reaching the Target?

Hold ratings dominate, with 13 of 26 analysts on market data at that level and two at Sell, so enthusiasm is far from universal. The spread of targets, from $85 to $170 on market data, shows deep disagreement. Discount retailers can be sensitive to consumer spending, tariffs, labour and freight costs, and the effects of any store-format changes.

What Should Investors Watch Next?

Items to watch include for further broker revisions, whether data sets refresh and reconcile their consensus numbers, and how the shares trade against the $130 to $145 area where many recent targets sit.

Dollar Tree's Mean Targets Lag a Cluster Between $130 and $145

Dollar Tree closed at $118.64 on 9 October 2026, below most recent individual targets, and the direction of revisions has largely been upward, including Loop Capital's upgrade. Hold ratings dominate, with 13 of 26 analysts at that level and two at Sell, and the $85 to $170 spread shows deep disagreement. Many recent targets sit in the $130 to $145 area, and discount retailers can be sensitive to consumer spending, tariffs, labour and freight costs.