Key Highlights

● Microsoft closed at $535.07 on 9 October 2026, up 2.4 per cent.

● Market data consensus target is $578.73, implying about 8.2 per cent upside.

● The analyst rating consensus is Moderate Buy.

● Cantor Fitzgerald lifted its target from $522 to $608 on 21 and.

Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), a constituent of both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq-100, ended Friday 9 October 2026 at $535.07, up 2.4 per cent on the day. The consensus target sits moderately above the share price, and ratings lean positive. Recent broker revisions have mostly been upward.

What Is the Latest Analyst Price Target?

Market data shows an average analyst price target of $578.73 from 48 analysts with ratings in the past 12 months. Against the $535.07 close, the consensus target suggests implied upside of about 8.2 per cent. The range is wide, from $440 (Rothschild & Co Redburn, 21 September 2026) to $870 (Arete Research, 5 May 2026).

The second data set, using third-party data, shows a mean of $587.63, a median of $586, a high of $870 and a low of $440 across 56 analysts. The two averages are within about 2 per cent of each other, and both are consistent with recent named broker targets.

What Are Wall Street Analysts Saying?

Market data reports 42 Buy, 4 Hold and 2 Sell ratings, a consensus of Moderate Buy. The second data set lists 41 Strong Buy, 14 Buy and 1 Hold, and rates the consensus Strong Buy.

Recent named target changes on market data include Scotiabank raising its target from $510 to $615 and Melius Research setting $665 (both 5 October), Wells Fargo raising from $700 to $725 (1 October), and Piper Sandler raising from $550 to $610 (30 September). Cantor Fitzgerald lifted its target from $522 to $608 and Oppenheimer from $515 to $570 on 21 and 22 September, while Bank of America raised from $500 to $600 on 1 September. Market data also lists a cluster of rating changes dated 5 October, in both directions. Because that cluster looks unusual, it has not been relied on here.

What Could Help the Stock Reach the Price Target?

What can be said is that the direction of recent target revisions has been upward, with most of the named changes since September increasing the figure. If that trend continues and the share price keeps building on Friday's gain, the distance to the consensus target could narrow.

What Could Prevent the Stock Reaching the Target?

Analyst views are not uniform. Market data lists two Sell ratings and four Hold ratings, and the lowest target of $440 sits well below the current price. Mizuho and Barclays both lowered their targets in July. Wider market volatility, changes in valuation multiples and results that disappoint expectations could all keep the shares below analysts' estimates.

How Analysts See Microsoft After the Latest Close

Microsoft closed at $535.07 on 9 October 2026, up 2.4 per cent on the day, against a market data consensus target of $578.73. Cantor Fitzgerald lifted its target from $522 to $608 and Oppenheimer from $515 to $570 on 21 and 22 September, while Bank of America raised from $500 to $600 on 1 September.