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Jul 31, 2025

  • LNF:TSX
  • Investment Type
    Small-Cap
  • Risk Level
  • Action
  • Rec. Price (CA$)

Kalkine’s “Global Travel and Leisure Report” delivers an in-depth analysis of leading companies and transformative trends shaping the travel ecosystem across the U.S., Canada, Australia, UK, and New Zealand. The report spans the full travel value chain from airlines and hospitality groups to digital travel platforms and the booming growth in leisure, entertainment, gaming/casinos, retail and consumer discretionary sectors, capturing how these segments are revolutionizing modern travel experiences.

 

Canada's Travel and Leisure sector in 2025 is resilient and growth-oriented, driven by digital transformation (particularly AI integration), a decent push for sustainability, favorable government policies, and renewed demand from both domestic and international travelers. The sector spans a diverse value chain including airlines, hotels, digital travel platforms, entertainment, gaming, casinos, retail, and consumer discretionary, each playing a vital role in reshaping travel experiences. Growth is further fueled by rising immigration, increased urban mobility, and a shift toward personalized, health-secure, and eco-conscious travel. While challenges like labor shortages, infrastructure gaps, and regulatory uncertainties remain, the sector’s outlook remains positive, hinging on its ability to scale innovation, attract investment, and expand capacity.

 

Image source: © 2025 Krish Capital Pty. Ltd., Analysis: Kalkine Group 

 

Canada’s travel and tourism industry continues to demonstrate resilience and recovery in Q1 2025, contributing significantly to the national economy and employment landscape.

  • Total Economic Contribution: Tourism GDP increased by 0.5% in Q1 2025, decelerating from a 1.3% gain in Q4 2024. Growth was supported by decent gains in accommodation (+2.0%) and food & beverage services (+1.0%), while declines in transportation and travel services pulled back overall momentum.
  • Employment Impact: The industry supported around ~707,400 jobs, representing ~30% of total employment in Q1 2025, A modest +0.1% rise over Q4 2024. Job gains occurred in accommodation and food & beverage but were offset by declines in recreation/entertainment and travel services.

Image source: © 2025 Krish Capital Pty. Ltd., Analysis: Kalkine Group 

 

Image source: © 2025 Krish Capital Pty. Ltd., Analysis: Kalkine Group 

 

Image source: © 2025 Krish Capital Pty. Ltd., Analysis: Kalkine Group 

 

Image source: © 2025 Krish Capital Pty. Ltd., Analysis: Kalkine Group 

 

Image source: © 2025 Krish Capital Pty. Ltd., Analysis: Kalkine Group 

 

Canada’s travel and leisure industry appears set for steady growth, supported by sustainable local demand, the revival of international arrivals, and favorable government policies. Ongoing improvements in infrastructure, growing consumer interest, and rising focus on eco-friendly and immersive travel experiences are creating attractive prospects for both businesses and investors. That said, challenges such as staffing gaps, rising operational costs, and global economic headwinds will require careful navigation. Despite these hurdles, the sector’s long-term outlook remains optimistic, as Canada continues to enhance its appeal as a top-tier destination in the post-COVID landscape. 

Amid elevated Market Volatility and Global Economic Headwinds, Leon's Furniture Ltd (TSX: LNF) stands out as our defensive pick within the Consumer Discretionary Sector, supported by rigorous fundamental and technical research. 

 

Section1: Company Overview and Fundamental Insights:

Leon's Furniture Ltd (TSX: LNF) is a Canada-based retailer which is involved in the sale of home furnishing, mattresses, appliances, and electronics. The firm is also the country's commercial retailer of appliances to builders, developers, hotels, and property management companies. It generates maximum revenue from sales of goods by corporate stores.

Kalkine’s “Global Travel and Leisure Report” covers the Investment Highlights, Key Financial Metrics, Risks, Technical Analysis along with the Valuation, Target Price, and Recommendation on the stock.

 

 

 

The top 10 shareholders together form ~71.96% of the total shareholding. Midgemar, Ltd. and Jomila, Ltd. hold a maximum stake in the company at ~17.65% and ~16.81%, respectively.

 

The company reported rising Net income and Adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2025 against pcp, which is a key positive. Furthermore, it clocked industry beating margins. Along with this, the group also clocked higher Same Store Sales, displaying its strength and adaptability.

 

Section 2: Business Updates and Financial Highlights

The picture below gives an overview of the company’s recent activities, such as an update on the Brick Launches New Showroom in Richmond, BC and dividend payments.

 

 

Section 3: Key Risks and Company Outlook

 

Section 4: Stock Recommendation Summary

The stock has witnessed a downside of ~3.32% and an upside of ~17.39% over the last 1 week and 3 months respectively. Moreover, it is trading above the average 52-week high price of CAD 30.64 and 52-week low price of CAD 20.51, providing an opportunity to ride the trend.

 

 

Valuation Methodology: EV to EBITDA Based Relative Valuation (Illustrative)

 

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macroeconomic issues and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is July 30, 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Dividend Yield may vary as per the stock price movement. 

Note 5: Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from REFINITIV or Trading View. Typically, REFINITIV or Trading View may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 25-30 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock. 

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock. 

Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.


Disclaimer-

Kalkine Equities LLC, with Delaware File Number 4697384, Foreign Qualification Registration in California File Number 202109211078, and Texas File Number 805521396, is authorized to provide general advice only. The information on https://kalkine.com/ does not take into account any of your investment objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider the appropriateness of advice taking into account your own objectives, financial situation and needs and seek independent financial advice before making any financial decisions. The link to our Terms and Conditions  and Privacy Policy has been provided for your reference. On the date of publishing the reports (mentioned on the website), employees and/or associates of Kalkine do not hold positions in any of the stocks covered on the website. These stocks can change any time and readers of the reports should not consider these stocks as advice or recommendations later.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.