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U.S. Producer Prices Jump 6.5% Year-on-Year in May, Highest Since 2022

U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in May, official data showed Thursday, as rising energy costs tied to the Iran war pushed annual wholesale inflation to its highest level in three and a half years. The Producer Price Index for final demand rose …

Nitish Kishor | 11 June 2026

How High Can the Iran War Push U.S. Inflation, And What Would It Take to Stop It?

U.S. inflation has accelerated sharply since the onset of the Iran war in late February 2026, with energy prices constituting the primary transmission mechanism from the geopolitical shock to consumer costs. Consumer prices rose 4.2% year-on-year in May, up from 3.8% in April and …

Nitish Kishor | 11 June 2026

Fertilizer and Aluminum Supply Risks Are Adding a Second Wave of Inflation Pressure

The inflationary impact of the Iran war is moving in waves through the global economy. The first and most visible wave is energy, with crude oil, gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel prices rising sharply as the Strait of Hormuz closure disrupts one-fifth of the …

Nitish Kishor | 11 June 2026

Bitcoin Climbs to $62,689 as Safe-Haven and Risk-Recovery Demand Converge in the Same Session

Bitcoin traded between $62,600 and $62,788 on Thursday, recovering from three consecutive sessions of losses and staging one of the more complex single-day moves in recent weeks as conflicting macro signals pulled the asset in different directions simultaneously.

Nitish Kishor | 11 June 2026

Fed Rate-Cut Hopes Have Faded, Hot Wholesale Inflation Makes a Hike the New Debate

The May Producer Price Index has given Federal Reserve officials yet another data point suggesting that the inflation environment is moving away from conditions that would justify rate cuts and toward conditions where a rate increase becomes defensible. The headline PPI rose 6.5% year-on-year …

Nitish Kishor | 11 June 2026

Surging Inflation May Force the Fed to Hike Rates, Here's What It Means for Retirees

The Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate steady at the 3.50% to 3.75% range at its April 2026 meeting, as it has done at each meeting since December 2025. But with headline CPI rising above 4% in May and the Producer Price Index …

Nitish Kishor | 11 June 2026

The Fed Meets June 16, Here Is What Markets Expect and What to Watch For

The Federal Reserve's June 16-17 FOMC meeting is set to produce a hold, but the content of the policy statement and the updated quarterly projections will be scrutinised far more intensely than the rate decision itself. The central question is whether the Fed signals …

Nitish Kishor | 11 June 2026

Stagflation Returns: Investors Confront a Market Environment Not Seen for Decades

Stagflation occupies a distinctive place in economic history because it combines two conditions that often move in opposite directions: weak growth and persistent inflation. The phenomenon became particularly associated with the 1970s, when energy shocks and structural economic challenges contributed to prolonged periods of …

Nitish Kishor | 11 June 2026

Iran War Pushes Global Growth to Post-COVID Low of 2.5%, World Bank Warns

The World Bank released its June 2026 Global Economic Prospects report on Thursday, delivering its starkest assessment yet of the economic damage from the U.S.-Iran conflict. Global growth is now forecast at 2.5% for 2026, down from 2.9% in 2025 and the weakest rate …

Nitish Kishor | 11 June 2026

Jet Fuel Prices Have Doubled, Which Airlines Are Most Exposed to the Iran Energy Shock?

The Iran war has delivered the aviation industry its worst cost shock since the COVID-19 pandemic, with jet fuel prices roughly doubling since the conflict began in February 2026. The International Air Transport Association has warned that the surge in energy costs will nearly …

Nitish Kishor | 11 June 2026
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