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Is a September manufacturing survey that stayed steady while its prices gauge surged a warning for a Fed that is weighing a hike?

The ISM manufacturing index measures activity by surveying purchasing managers, and a reading above 50 percent means expansion. The September report was steady, which suggests the sector is holding up, though the prices-paid gauge surged. Managers were generally positive but cited tariffs and trade …

Vinay Lochav | 02 October 2026

Why is the dollar index near 102, a level not seen since early 2025, while headed for a weekly gain?

A currency strengthens when investors expect higher interest rates in that country, becauseAssetsthere earn more. Rate hike expectations for the Fed, along with elevated Treasury yields, drewCapitalinto dollars. The index kept setting new 2026 highs this week even as hike odds for October fell. …

Vinay Lochav | 02 October 2026

US Stocks Edge Higher as Treasury Yields Ease; Jobs Report Takes Centre Stage

US stocks closed mostly higher on Thursday as easing Treasury yields helped markets recover earlier losses. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, theNasdaqrose 0.3%, and the Dow finished near flat. Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson’s comments favouring more time to assess further rate hikes supported …

Team Kalkine | 02 October 2026

Wall Street Opens Q4 with AI Optimism Amid Rising Yields and Inflation Concerns

US stocks closed mixed on Wednesday as rebounding oil prices and elevated Treasury yields offset softer-than-expectedInflationdata. The S&P 500 fell 0.2% and the Dow lost 444 points, while theNasdaqgained 0.2%. Financials and industrials weakened, while AI and semiconductor stocks advanced ahead of Micron’s earnings. …

Team Kalkine | 01 October 2026

Which of four war-time assets is under the most pressure: oil topping USD 100, gold down 4.7%, silver down 6.25% or the largest cryptocurrency 35% below its record?

The United States Oil Fund (NYSEARCA:USO) holds near-term WTI futures, and oil reversed earlier losses on October 1 to rise more than 2%. Brent topped USD 100 and November WTI reached USD 92.70 after a report that PetroChina canceled a handful of gasoline and …

Vinay Lochav | 01 October 2026

Why are some Bank of Japan policymakers urging a faster pace of rate hikes ahead of the October 29 to 30 meeting?

The summary of opinions is a short document that collects views from a policy meeting without naming who said what. Traders use it to judge how close the board is to another move. The September edition, published October 1, showed that some members saw …

Vinay Lochav | 01 October 2026

Why did the S&P 500 give back a late-day gain of about 0.5% to close at 7,651.54 on the last day of the quarter?

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) follows an index that spent most of September 30 in positive territory before a burst of selling in the final half hour. The S&P 500 finished 19.30 points lower, down 0.3%, at 7,651.54. Another published data set …

Vinay Lochav | 01 October 2026

Which major index lost 4.3% in September while the Nasdaq gained 1.9%, and how did the third quarter end?

The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:DIA) follows the index that suffered the biggest September damage. The Dow lost 4.3% for the month and 2.7% for the quarter. The S&P 500 slipped about 0.5%, its third losing month in the last four, …

Vinay Lochav | 01 October 2026

Why did 294 Nasdaq stocks hit new 52-week lows against just 84 highs on a day when the indexes looked green?

Market breadth measures how many stocks participate in a move. On September 30, 2026, the major indexes looked healthy for most of the session, with the S&P 500 ahead about 0.5% and the Nasdaq almost 1% in late-day trading. Yet 294 Nasdaq stocks set …

Vinay Lochav | 01 October 2026

Is a 10-year Treasury yield of 5.23%, up about 60 basis points since mid-August, the new normal for markets?

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) is sensitive to long-term rates, and September was brutal for them. The 10-year yield rose from lows below 4% in March to about 5.23%, and about 60 basis points since mid-August. Earlier in September it touched …

Vinay Lochav | 01 October 2026
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