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President Donald Trump's arrival in Beijing for high-stakes meetings with Chinese leader Xi Jinping has refocusedCapital Marketsattention on a broad cluster of equities carrying significant bilateral exposure. The agenda spans tariffs, rare earth access, semiconductor export controls, Taiwan, artificial intelligence, and the ongoing Iran …
AI Momentum Overrides Macro Headwinds
The Break-Even Signal Markets Cannot Ignore
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Federal Reserve chair in the most divisive vote in Fed history, inheriting aCentral Bankfacing risingInflation, oil-driven price pressures, and White House demands for rate cuts.Key HighlightsSenate confirms Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair in a 54-45 vote, the most divisive …
The Build-Up: A Decade of Pressure (2018-2025)
A Structural Collapse, Not a Wartime Disruption
TheSupplyShock That Started Everything
April producer prices surged at the fastest monthly pace in four years, as energy costs from the Iran conflict and broadTariffpass-through signal a structuralInflationReversalwith direct implications for Federal Reserve policy.Key HighlightsThe US Producer Priceindexrose 1.4% month-on-month in April 2026, the largest monthly gain since …
Strong Headlines, Fragile Foundations
The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for ten weeks, eliminating 14% of global oilSupply. YetBrent Crudeholds at $107. Here is why that calm may not last.Key HighlightsNearly 14 million barrels per day of oil have been removed from global supply since the Strait …
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